Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 1.524107 1.786399 2.059927 2.364836 2.693680 3.036232 3.418634
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 1.077861 1.431562 1.824351 2.285869 2.806857 3.371078 4.022863
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.830851 1.219794 1.673007 2.225748 2.868914 3.582704 4.424415
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.652963 1.061448 1.560304 2.189824 2.941921 3.793882 4.815440
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.548251 0.975827 1.519400 2.224526 3.084365 4.073476 5.274076
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.453468 0.889004 1.465990 2.234832 3.190558 4.305550 5.673857
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.359963 0.789415 1.385034 2.201485 3.236411 4.460745 5.979320
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.331677 0.781488 1.423241 2.317723 3.464309 4.831385 6.537017
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.308092 0.777064 1.463844 2.435449 3.693143 5.202849 7.095935
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.291127 0.780620 1.514033 2.564846 3.936247 5.591654 7.676023
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.281211 0.794278 1.577750 2.711877 4.201716 6.008044 8.289828
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.254486 0.775001 1.591449 2.790119 4.378743 6.316273 8.774382
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.208784 0.718251 1.551436 2.800813 4.478243 6.541645 9.175661
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.151775 0.627599 1.453312 2.727122 4.466468 6.629529 9.412356
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.106666 0.547142 1.362184 2.656139 4.452371 6.709635 9.635078
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.075689 0.487319 1.297685 2.617993 4.477409 6.835097 9.909755
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.059807 0.460714 1.286379 2.655814 4.603147 7.086965 10.339317
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.043877 0.426716 1.258883 2.667392 4.691942 7.291096 10.709604
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.027252 0.378889 1.201512 2.630469 4.712098 7.405934 10.968127
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.025604 0.388493 1.251473 2.758868 4.960938 7.815362 11.594115
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.024157 0.398456 1.302141 2.888610 5.212086 8.228381 12.225419
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.023605 0.412404 1.360659 3.030933 5.481240 8.665304 12.887432
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.024257 0.432344 1.431094 3.192304 5.777477 9.137907 13.594888